Markets

Weather Football
Weather temperature bucket markets for 2026-07-29. Prices in cents (¢). Edge = NWS probability − Polymarket price.
No active weather markets for 2026-07-29
About Weather Markets

Weather markets are NO trades — we sell the YES side (bet temperature is NOT in bucket).

Edge: NWS P(temp in bucket) − PM NO price. Positive edge = NWS says less likely than PM implies.

SL: exit if NWS probability exceeds 15% OR NO price falls below 50% of entry.